There were never more than this.
The belief that numerous Holy Grail Wars have occurred is intentional misinformation.
Records were fragmented, renamed, and falsified to imply repetition.
In truth:
Only three Holy Grail Wars have ever taken place.
Each one nearly ended the city.
Anything else was:
a failed activation
a partial echo
or a containment event misclassified as a “war”
Status: Experimental Catastrophe
Outcome: Total Failure
The First War was not conceived as a conflict.
It was a joint thaumaturgical experiment between early mage families to test whether a wish-executing engine could be constructed at all. Servants were unstable, Masters were unprepared, and Command Seals were primitive or nonexistent.
The Grail manifested briefly—long enough to confirm feasibility—then collapsed violently.
All participants died.
The site was erased and reclassified.
Truth Established:
The Grail can exist.
Humanity cannot control it yet.
Status: Suppressed Armed Conflict
Outcome: Incomplete Activation
The Second War introduced structure:
Class Containers
Command Seals
Master qualification thresholds
This was the first true Holy Grail War.
Seven Masters.
Seven Servants.
One city that did not consent.
The system functioned longer. Too long.
As the Grail neared completion, contradictory wishes destabilized its core. Rather than grant anything, it began to rewrite probability locally, causing cascading anomalies.
The Grail collapsed on its own.
No winner emerged.
Truth Established:
Conflict sustains the system.
Completion is the danger.
Status: Contained Urban Catastrophe
Outcome: Forced Termination
The Third War occurred within Kurotsuki City itself.
By this point, secrecy had become policy. Masters were selected covertly. Servants manifested across multiple districts. Civilian harm was no longer avoidable.
This war is the origin of the modern world order:
N.O.C.T.U.R.N.E. intervened directly
Mage academies turned on one another
The Vermilion Axiom and Azure Veil Conclave split permanently
When containment failed, a final decision was made:
The Grail was sealed mid-activation, collapsing the system at immense cost:
Servants annihilated
Masters terminated or erased
Permanent metaphysical scarring to the city
The city survived.
The alliance between magi did not.
Truth Established:
The Grail cannot be allowed to complete.
It also cannot be destroyed.
There has never been a Fourth Holy Grail War.
What followed the Third were:
aborted activations
false starts
unbound Servant phenomena
Command Seal anomalies
These are aftershocks, not wars.
Calling them “wars” spreads responsibility thin and obscures blame.
All factions agree on one point:
If a Fourth Holy Grail War fully manifests,
Kurotsuki City will not survive it.
This is why:
Knowledge is aggressively gatekept
Potential Masters are monitored or removed
Partial activations are smothered immediately
The system still exists.
But it is wounded.
And wounded systems behave unpredictably.
Three wars only
Each one worse than the last
Each one redefining the rules
Each one narrowing the margin for survival
The Grail does not repeat itself endlessly.
It learns.